Kovacevic: Simulator spits out another 10,000 … runs allowed ☕


To continue reading, log into your account:

[theme-my-login show_title=0]
A fan, Monday night at PNC Park. - MATT SUNDAY / DKPS

Fire everyone.

If needed, run the firing through a statistical simulator 10,000 times, if only so that all 10,000 instances illustrate that it's the right thing to do.

If anyone missed it over the weekend, it's more than worth the rewind to hear Neal Huntington's analytical assessment of these face-planting Pirates on his weekly radio show on 93.7 The Fan: "If you run 10,000 simulations on teams that are supposed to be a .500 team, eight times would you run into a 4-24 stretch, according to FanGraphs. So a less than 1 percent chance of what we just experienced."

This came from the mouth of the National League's most tenured general manager.

In a controlled setting, mind you, being interviewed by a team employee.

This, my friends, is how they talk. This is how they think. They see it as brilliance when they succeed, even in spurts, and they see it as lousy luck when they don't. I've been writing this for years, but it's only now resonating more broadly, thanks to this team losing pretty much every game it plays anymore, not least of which was this 13-0 humiliation at the Nationals' hands Monday night at PNC Park.

Really want to know how it happened?

OK, without wasting any words ...

That was all off Trevor Williams. All in the totality of the two innings he'd last. Adam Eaton, then Matt Adams, then Trea Turner. Ten batters were up, and seven had plated. It was 8-0 when Williams left. Montana DuRapau then took the ball and served up three more. And three hours later, the torment ended.

Had enough?

We'll see if Bob Nutting has.

To continue reading, log into your account: