Kovacevic: Penguins in ... uh, 5 1/2? taken in Cranberry Township, Pa. (Penguins)

Matt Murray at practice Monday morning. - MATT SUNDAY / DKPS

CRANBERRY TOWNSHIP, Pa. -- The heavy temptation here is to take the Penguins in five.

These aren't your father's Flyers in the sense that they're all about skating and skill, not really at all about the trademark thuggery that's pretty much defined the franchise since its founding. And yet, they might as well be your father's Flyers in the sense that they haven't had star-level or even competent goaltending since the current GM, Ron Hextall, was chasing Robbie Brown around the rink.

Add that to a young, easily-exposed defense, factor in the Penguins' offense that scored five times in each game of the four-game series sweep in the regular season, and that's got routine first-round Stanley Cup playoff victory written all over it. Four games maybe, five at the most.

Except for two annoying things:

1. The Penguins' penalty-killing stinks against everyone anymore.

2. The Flyers' power-play style makes for an even worse matchup.

Dave Hakstol's moved a few pieces the past couple years, so it doesn't have the same look as when Claude Giroux, Jakub Voracek and Wayne Simmonds used to play a lateral connect-the-dots down low, right through the slot, better than anyone in the NHL. There's now more action at the point with the frighteningly nimble Shayne Gostisbehere hovering around center point, with Giroux now patrolling the other point in Evgeni Malkin's rover mold, and with 19-year-old Nolan Patrick taking Simmonds' spot on the top unit. But it's still the same concept down low.

Everything about this is bad from the Pittsburgh perspective.

Especially with Ian Cole's departure, the Penguins' penalty-killers aren't keeping the puck out of what Mike Sullivan calls "the danger area," no matter how much it's infuriated their coach. It's not just the lack of shot-blocking. It's also not filling the right lanes, not making the right reads. Opponents have picked apart that box, not as much over the past couple weeks but still far too much, and the Flyers, to repeat, are better than most.

To boot, given that a team's most important penalty-killer -- repeat after any youth coach -- is the goaltender, it's that much more ominous. Matt Murray has many strengths, but lateral movement isn't high on the list. A team making a sharp east-west feed for a one-timer is going to have a quality scoring chance. And, at the risk of sounding disrespectful to Murray -- not at all my intent -- this is why Marc-Andre Fleury was the ideal choice to face the Capitals in the second round last spring, as they similarly work laterally through the box. Those side-to-side splits were Flower's signature.

There's a simple solution for this, of course: Commit to smarter structure on the PK and keep the puck outside the hashes.

It's not like the Penguins don't grasp what'll happen if they don't.

"They've got a lot of good players out there, and they've played together for a long time, so they know where they're going to be," Carl Hagelin was telling me Monday regarding the Flyers' power play. "It's going to be important for us as a PK to shut them down, prevent those passes through the middle, block shots, clear the puck ... everything we know we can do."

They can. But they haven't in a while, and that'll complicate this.

Penguins in ... uh, 5 1/2?

• The peak Murray can kill penalties with anyone, but he'll have to dial up the January version in a hurry.

• Analyzing this series, candidly, really shouldn't go any deeper than the goaltending at the Philadelphia end.

Brian Elliott, an average-at-best starter for the better part of his NHL career, just returned from a 53-day absence for core muscle surgery, and his two starts saw him give up three softies to the Hurricanes, then shut out the depleted Rangers on just 17 shots. That was the totality of his tuneup.

To boot, in two meetings with the Penguins, he was beaten nine times in five-plus periods.

His backup is Petr Mrazek, who's barely worth a phrase of analysis.

• The Flyers aren't the same team. Anyone forecasting some flurry of fights and other nonsense flat-out hasn't been paying attention. Hextall's built that roster up with quality young talent, even as he's patiently kept the core intact and, against a lot of public sentiment, he's stuck by Hakstol behind the bench, too.

Credit to all concerned.

But ...

Anyone forecasting that the Flyers will go down without any of the trademark nonsense hasn't been paying attention for the past half-century. Bobby Clarke and Paul Holmgren are still involved. The NHL's nastiest crowd -- and it's not close -- will still be involved, beginning with Game 3. And there might even be the unreasonable expectation, fueled by the Eagles and Villanova winning championships, that these Flyers are on the cusp of contending for something. That'll fan the flames that much more.

What I'm saying: They'll still be the Flyers in some form. You'll see.

• There's nothing stranger than searching for parallels between that 2012 debacle and the current Penguins and Flyers, other than a handful of key, skilled participants. As Kris Letang beautifully put it Monday, "Whatever it was, it was in the moment, emotional. We have a different team, different experience, different coaching staff. We're all over 30 years old now. We're all supposed to be mature."

The only significance to that 2012 series was that it was the last one the Flyers won against anybody.

Feel free to share with a friend at the wrong end of the commonwealth.

• The only lineup question Sullivan appears to have left lingering for Game 1, based on drills Monday, is between Tom Kuhnhackl and Josh Jooris, who rotated as fourth-line right wingers. That'll be Kuhnhackl. Bank on it. Sullivan's been exasperated by the lack of shot-blocking since Cole left, and he's not about to lift his most willing forward in that regard.

That leaves the likely scratches as Jooris, Dominik Simon and Matt Hunwick. Sounds about right.

Derick Brassard was back on the ice at Monday's practice and, at least visibly, none the worse for the groin injury that forced him out of the final two weeks. And even though he rightly pointed out that it was lousy timing "because I was just getting going," it wasn't the worst timing, either. This guy makes things happen in games that matter, and that bonus rest and recovery will serve both him and the Penguins well.

I pressed him on that, and he agreed, albeit with some reluctance.

"You don't ever like to be out, especially when your team's battling for playoff position," Brassard would tell me. "But I feel good right now. I'm excited about that."

• More on Brassard, via word of mouth ...

• Genuinely bold first-round prediction: Kings over Golden Knights.

Maybe Fleury can steal another, but the expansion bloom is about to wilt. Anyone can go gung-ho for the first 82 to stick it to all the doubters and, for all that went right for Vegas in a historic inaugural season, everyone tries hard in the playoffs. Effort becomes equalized.

• If Barry Trotz and the Capitals aren't burning up their bulletin board with material about John Tortorella and the Blue Jackets deliberately ducking the Penguins in the first round, they're doing it wrong.

I don't believe for a second the Devils ducked anyone, but I'm sure of it regarding Columbus. Tortorella's got a goaltender who shrieks in terror at the sight of black and gold. And his bosses, from the business standpoint, need to maybe someday win an actual playoff round for the first time in the franchise's 18 seasons. The ducking couldn't have been more transparent.

• Speaking of goaltenders shrieking at black and gold, Trotz will turn to Philipp Grubauer over Braden Holtby for Game 1. Mm-hm.

• Canada hasn't had a Stanley Cup champion since the 1993 Canadiens. Only two teams from north of the border are in the playoffs: Toronto and Winnipeg. The Maple Leafs don't have a prayer, but the Jets are loaded. It'd be hilarious if Canada's most ignored franchise -- meaning up there -- would be the one to end the streak.

Olli Maatta is just flying right now. That can be taken as a lame, meaningless practice observation, or it can be taken as a summation of his skating in recent games, but hey, just take it. Because the kid's smiling and, for the first time entering any playoff in his still-young career, he's not overcoming some major hardship.

"It feels good, more than anything, to be healthy," he'd say Monday. "To be healthy, to play all 82 ... I feel like I was able to just play the game."

Good for him. What a story he's been. With maybe another remarkable chapter ahead.

MATT SUNDAY GALLERY

Penguins practice, UPMC Lemieux Sports Complex, April 9, 2018 - MATT SUNDAY / DKPS

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