Penguins

What would it take to break Lemieux’s records?

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Mario Lemieux. -- AP PHOTO

Sidney Crosby set the franchise all-time games-played record in February, surpassing Mario Lemieux's 915 games.

Lemieux, of course, is still the record holder in nearly every offensive category. Crosby is No. 2 in most offensive categories, with Evgeni Malkin holding the No. 2 spot in some other categories.

How close are Lemieux's records from being broken, and what would it take for someone to break them? Let's take a look.

GOALS

Lemieux ranks No. 1 with 690 goals, and Crosby is No. 2 with 446. It would take 245 goals for Crosby to pass Lemieux.

Over the past four seasons, Crosby has average 36 goals per season. He would have to maintain that pace for another 6.8 seasons, until he's 39 years old, in order to pass Lemieux.

That's not out of the question. Other stars in the modern era have had offensive production in that range into their late 30s. Joe Sakic had 30-plus goal seasons in each of his last three healthy seasons, at ages 35-37. As a 37-year-old in 2006-07, he scored 36 goals and 64 assists in 82 games.

ASSISTS

Lemieux leads this category with 1,033 assists. Crosby ranks second with 770 assists, needing 263 assists to move into sole possession of first place.

This one is a little more obtainable. Crosby has averaged 54.57 assists over the last four seasons. He'd need to maintain that pace for another 4.8 seasons in order to gain first place at 37 years old.

POINTS

Lemieux has 1,723 career points, 507 more than Crosby's 1,216.

Crosby has averaged 90.75 points over the past four seasons, although he did hit the 100-point mark last season. If he can maintain a pace of 90.75 points, he'd move into first place in 5.6 seasons, at age 38.

EVEN STRENGTH GOALS

Lemieux ranks No. 1 with 405 career even strength goals. Crosby has 307, ranking third behind Jaromir Jagr's 320. He'd need 99 to jump into first place.

Crosby has averaged 24.75 even strength goals over the past four seasons. He'd need another four seasons at that pace to move into first place, at 36 years old.

POWER PLAY GOALS

Lemieux, again, ranks No. 1 here with 236 career power-play goals. Malkin ranks No. 2 in this category though, with 142 goals. He'd need 95 power play goals to take sole possession of first place.

Malkin has averaged 11.25 power play goals over the last four seasons. At that rate, he'd need to play another 8.4 seasons, until he's 42.

Crosby isn't far behind in third place, with 136 career power-play goals. He'd need 101 to pass Lemieux, and he's averaged 11.25 power-play goals over the last four seasons. He'd need to keep up that pace for another nine seasons, until age 41.

This record is probably safe.

SHORTHANDED GOALS

This one is so out of reach it's not even worth looking at. Lemieux had 49 shorthanded goals, 35 more than Jean Pronovost and Ron Schock, who are tied for second place with 14. Jordan Staal is next with 13, seven of which came during his rookie season.

It's a tie for the active Penguin with the most career shorthanded goals: Malkin, Kris Letang, and Bryan Rust each have four.

To add some more perspective, Lemieux holds the NHL record for most shorthanded goals in one season with 13. He scored more shorthanded goals in 1988-89 than nearly any other player did in their entire career with the Penguins.

No math needed here, it's not happening.

GAME-WINNING GOALS

This is the only offensive stat in which Lemieux doesn't rank first. Jagr has the most game-winning goals for the Penguins, with 78. Lemieux is No. 2 with 74.

Malkin ranks third, with 68 career game-winning goals. He's averaged six in each of the past four seasons. At that rate, he'd tie Jagr for No. 1 in just two seasons, and pass him in three. This one is well within reach.

Crosby isn't far behind, with 60 game-winners. He's averaged 5.75 over the past four seasons. He'll need 3.3 seasons at that pace to pass Jagr. That's also within reach.

The other factor here, obviously, is that Jagr is going to play forever and could make another NHL comeback in another 10 years and retake his record.

SHOTS

Lemieux took 3,633 shots in his career, the most of any Penguin. Crosby ranks second, with 3,063. He'd need 571 more shots to move into sole possession of first place.

Crosby has averaged 242.5 shots in his last four seasons. If he keeps shooting at that rate, he'd move into first place in 2.35 seasons, which is obviously doable.

Malkin isn't far off with 2,874 career shots. He'd need 760 shots to pass Lemieux, and he's averaged 194.75 over the last four seasons. He'd need 3.9 more seasons at that rate to pass Lemieux.

HAT TRICKS

This is another one that isn't even worth looking at. Lemieux has 40 career hat tricks. Malkin is second with 12, and Crosby is third with 11.

It's not happening.

POSTSEASON GOALS

Crosby already ranks No. 1 in franchise postseason points (186), assists (120), and games played (164).

Lemieux still holds the franchise record for postseason goals, with 76. Crosby ranks No. 2, with 66.

It's difficult to predict how many seasons it would take for Crosby to move into the No. 1 spot, since postseasons vary in length. However, over his career, Crosby has averaged one goal for every 2.48 playoff-games played. If this average holds, Crosby would statistically need to play 25 more playoff games to tie Lemieux.

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