Penguins

NHL Draft Lottery tonight: Will Wings win?

[get_snippet]

To continue reading, log into your account:

[theme-my-login show_title=0]
EXPECTED 2020 NO. 1 OVERALL PICK ALEXIS LAFRENIERE. -- VINCENT ETHIER/CHL

The first phase of the 2020 NHL Draft Lottery will take place on Friday night. Here's how you can watch the drawing, how the drawing will work, and what the results could mean for the Penguins.

• What: 2020 NHL Draft Lottery, Phase 1
• When: 8 p.m. Friday
• Where: NHL Network Studios
• TV: NBCSN (United States), Sportsnet and TVA (Canada)

HOW WILL THE DRAWING WORK THIS YEAR?

Usually, the lottery drawing has representatives from some of the teams with the highest odds on location, as well as the presumed No. 1 overall pick.

The lottery this year will just have commissioner Gary Bettman and deputy commissioner Bill Daly in the NHL Network Studios, with Kathryn Tappen hosting the 30-minute show.

Bob McKenzie reported that Alexis Lafrenière, the expected No. 1 overall pick, will join the show via a video call, and "community heroes/front-line workers" from the known teams in the lottery will act as cheering sections for their teams over video.

WHAT ARE THE RULES?

The full draft lottery proceedings are a complicated, potentially two-step process due to the NHL season being on pause. The full draft lottery rules can be read here.

Friday will feature Phase 1 of the drawing. Just as in typical years, the only spots being drawn for are the top three picks. The unselected teams will be ranked in reverse order based on points percentage for the remaining picks.

There will be lottery balls representing all seven teams whose seasons are already over, and lottery balls representing the eight unknown teams that will be eliminated from the qualifying round. The odds for each of the teams and placeholders will be as follows:

Detroit Red Wings — 18.5 percent chance for No. 1 pick
Ottawa Senators — 13.5 percent
Ottawa Senators (from San Jose Sharks) — 11.5 percent
Los Angeles Kings — 9.5 percent
Anaheim Ducks — 8.5 percent
New Jersey Devils — 7.5 percent
Buffalo Sabres — 6.5 percent
Qualifying Round Team Placeholder A — 6.0 percent
Qualifying Round Team Placeholder B — 5.0 percent
Qualifying Round Team Placeholder C — 3.5 percent
Qualifying Round Team Placeholder D — 3.0 percent
Qualifying Round Team Placeholder E — 2.5 percent
Qualifying Round Team Placeholder F — 2.0 percent
Qualifying Round Team Placeholder G — 1.5 percent
Qualifying Round Team Placeholder H — 1.0 percent

 Bob McKenzie pointed out on Twitter that we'll know from the start if a placeholder for one of the eliminated qualifying round teams moves into the top three based on the number in which the order starts.

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR THE PENGUINS?

The Penguins' 2020 first-round pick was sent to the Wild in the Jason Zucker trade, but it is lottery protected. Usually, lottery protecting a pick means that if a team misses the playoffs -- and therefore is in the draft lottery -- then they have the option to defer the traded pick to the following summer so they have the chance to remain in the lottery.

This year is different, since the lottery is being held before the playoffs begin.

If none of the placeholder spots get selected for one of the top three picks, then we'd know that the Penguins wouldn't have a chance to move up in the draft order, even if they get eliminated by Montreal in the qualifying round and don't make the playoffs. In that case, the pick would most likely not be able to be deferred.

If one or more of the placeholder spots get selected for a top three pick and the Penguins do manage to lose to Montreal, they'd have a 12.5 percent chance at one of those top three picks in the Phase 2 drawing, since every team eliminated from the qualifying round has an equal chance at one of those picks.

That means that if a placeholder gets selected for a top three pick, and the Penguins lose to Montreal, the Penguins could potentially keep their first-round pick in 2020 and end up with a high draft pick.

To continue reading, log into your account: